AvtoVAZ is slowly but surely heading for the abyss?

The fate of Togliatti AvtoVAZ worries many. It is unlikely that there is another company in Russia that is so hotly and publicly debated. With the introduction of new tariffs on imported cars and their subsequent extension of the ranks of opponents Zhiguli increased significantly, and those who categorically do not accept this brand of car, added people, genuinely worried about the fate of the economy of this region as a whole. Question, or may not be AvtoVAZ, is very complicated. From the viewpoint of economics, business, overgrown with debt, the amount of which currently stands at more than 62 billion rubles.'s Time to close. And this should be done as quickly as possible, as long AvtoVAZ grow like a snowball, not by leaps and bounds: every day the plant needs light, water, heat and wages. With the onset of winter light and heat necessary even more. Profits, ability to repay at least part of existing loans, the company does not - by the end of the year will be a loss of 30 billion Furthermore, the figures in September just slay on the spot worldly-wise economists. They were lowest in the history of AvtoVAZ. And it is unlikely to grow in the near future. Despite the introduction of protective duties on imports of foreign cars and preferential loans cheaper models, despite the fact that Putin himself has promised to save jobs, there are things that are not easily regulate the outside. The current price of oil still allowing some time to pour money into the enterprise. But nobody knows which way to swing the arrow of the world economy. So far, the prospects are not too bright. Assets of the plant is practically worthless, because nobody wants. Pay people for what they are every day coming to work and nobody needs to collect the iron - it's just stupid. And all the talk about restructuring the debt and bond issues - no less stupid. Are banks, which today is already difficult to want to forgive some debt in order to gain new ones? That is what happened. At the moment, Vnesheconombank (according to the newspaper "Kommersant") does not want to buy bonds and invest in AvtoVAZ, even with the perspective required to have a controlling stake. A recent visit to Togliatti Deputy Prime Minister Igor Shuvalov and rave reviews about visiting the Research Center of the auto giant, however, optimism is not added. Yes, perhaps, in our country and have specialists that can come up with competitive machines. Yes, it is quite possible that the reconstruction of assembly lines for new models cost 42 billion rubles., Which hopes Deputy Prime Minister, will be successful. Here and Renault-Nissan almost agree to invest in joint investment projects. But actually it all - nothing but an attempt to revive the dead. Today's competition in the automobile industry is so high that nagging desire to AvtoVAZ kind of Guus Hiddink in the face of Renault will not work. And not just because the French probably would not go beyond their promises, because of the crisis they are in debt. Impossible to patch up the hole, even at the expense of a generous state, get a good autoenterprise. To this end, besides the money required to have an idea and tradition. In our country there is not one or the other. Today, in order to keep afloat, you need a wide range of vehicles of different classes, each of which performs a specific task of developing fully automated enterprise. A need to develop every moment: to invent, propose, implement, sell and invest profits in new technologies - and so round and very quickly. Yes still have time to meet the demands of the market, occasionally rolling on the development of depression, to be able to maneuver, time to rearrange under these or other needs, combined with one to overtake the other, and so much more. And what can give the so-called protection from creditors if the company knowingly unprofitable and in the coming year did not even dream about the profit? Prolong the agony. December 14, carmaker would dismiss 5,000 employees. Despite all the assurances of the government, the president of the company, Igor Komarov, said recently that in the next two years, "AvtoVAZ" intends to lay off 21.8 thousand people. Moreover, according to him, these skilled workers will be needed in 2012. Now in the court end of 2009. I wonder where these workers are offered "ride out" difficult times and how all these years, time to deal with, not to lose the qualifications? Unfortunately, circumstances are such that a huge city in the Volga region, for years lived and develops due to the auto giant Soviet era, with its infrastructure and tradition is literally on the verge of extinction. The question arises: why would the Government now does not make sure that this does not happen? Attract investors and allow at least the same Koreans or Japanese to build a completely new plant is much cheaper, which meets all modern requirements and producing inexpensive cars for which demand in Russia is and will be? And money, as long as they are not put into a bottomless barrel, entitled "AvtoVAZ", and to extend support to the region and at least partially take care of those 96.2 thousand people, which sooner or later be left without work.